By LEE ROBERTS
At a time when the academic job market is looking bleak, we asked career experts and economic forecasters to predict where faculty job growth could come in the next decade. Many agreed that job prospects will be dim because of budget cuts and diminishing faculty pension funds that have made professors less likely to retire. In addition, the growing use of graduate students and adjuncts to teach classes means fewer jobs are available that are secure or financially rewarding.
If the past is any indication, it is difficult to make predictions about the faculty job market. Predictions in the late 1980s of a huge faculty shortage caused by retirements failed to come true. Still, the data suggest that large numbers of academic teaching jobs will open up in the future. Some are expected to be created by enrollment growth; others by the need to replace faculty members hired in the late 1960s and 70s to teach baby boomers.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics has projected that 662,000 faculty jobs will become available from 2006 to 2016 — 382,000 new slots, and 280,000 current jobs expected to open up. Community colleges and other institutions that offer career and technical education are expected to offer many of the new job opportunities.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects that the number of postsecondary educational administrators will increase by 14 percent from 2006 to 2016.
"The leadership turnover in education is going to be tremendous in the coming years," said Mark David Milliron, president and chief executive of Catalyze Learning International, an education-consulting group in Newland, N.C. "Folks are scrambling to fill the C-level pipeline; as a result, Ph.D.'s and Ed.D.'s are in high demand, and will be for some time."
Source: The Chronicle of Higher Education | June 30,2009